In the past 40 years, the Republican Party has
undergone something of a metamorphosis, and the party that once liked Ike has
been supplanted with a party that now hates all things Obama. This
transformation of the last five decades has been a journey of curves and pivots
that few could have predicted in 1960. For prior to the Civil Rights
legislation in the mid-1960s, the composition of the nation’s two major parties
was quite different; and in some respects the exact reverse of what they are
now. This shift is largely the result of several Faustian bargains the GOP leadership
has made along the way.
During the mid-20th century, tension was
mounting in the Democratic Party between the old southern Dixiecrats – chock full
of long-time white supremacists, and the younger progressives such as John
Kennedy, Lyndon Johnson and Hubert Humphrey. The Republican Party was then the
party of the non-bigots, although they were not exactly championing Civil
Rights the way some Democrats were, especially Johnson as Senate Majority
Leader in the 1950s.
So, when the Democratic Party, with Republican
support lead by then-Senate Minority Leader Everett Dirkson, championed the
hallmark Civil Rights Act of 1964 and the Voting Rights Act of 1965, it caused
major upheavals in the once solid Democratic south, and old Dixie abandoned its
Democratic home. Some of the old Dixiecrats ran as 3rd Party
candidates, e.g., George Wallace in the Presidential Election of 1968; and most
eventually ended up in the Republican Party.
This shift created an opportunity for Republicans in
1968, which has long been known in political circles as ‘the southern strategy.’
After their 1968 convention left the Democratic Party appearing headless and reckless,
the GOP polished itself off and presented itself as the “law and order” party;
subtly appealing to those working class whites who saw LBJ’s Great Society as a
huge give-away to “the other”: ethnic minorities, women and the poor. And so
the Republican Party now became the champion of states’ rights and individual
rights, combatting the evils of a socialist handout. And this was their first
Faustian bargain.
The next deal with the devil came in 1980 with the
Reagan Revolution, declaring government itself to be the problem; and began to
convince the upper wealth classes that they shouldn’t have to do without a new
car so that somebody living in some slum somewhere can have an education, or a
meal, or a home, or an opportunity. The support of Evangelical Christians
provided religious cover for prioritizing the subsidizing of wealth over the
investment in children living in poverty in the USA. This new wing of the party
built upon the message of the so-called ‘moral majority,’ which in reality was
neither moral, nor a majority of Americans; but they had a loud and seemingly ‘moral’
message that was just a new spin on the further demonization of “the other.”
This Faustian bargain, which ushered in the age of
Reaganomics, many economists now believe to be the root cause of the Great
Recession of 2008. It is unarguable that those who have benefitted the most
from Reaganomics are those who were already wealthy to begin with. And those at
the bottom rungs of the economic ladder have made little or no progress as a
whole, and have seen subsidies that once funded basic necessities, as well as
opportunities for advancement, dwindle or disappear completely; opportunities
such as those provided by the Great Society.
The George W. Bush era began with the greatest
Faustian bargain of them all: the stolen election of 2000. Let’s face it, only
nine votes counted in that election. If you were not on the Supreme Court in
the fall of 2000, your vote did not matter. An administration beginning with
such a Machiavellian disregard of the very Constitution that created it could
not end well.
The Bush II era also reverted to the failed
Reaganomics of the past; even emulating this Republican icon in claiming to be
anti-government while racking up the debt of two unnecessary wars, as well as
funding a pork-fest in Congress. The unbridled greed unleashed by Bush II and
his cronies made the Reagan years look Amish in comparison.
The election of the nation’s first non-white male to
the Presidency of the United States in the 21st century stunned the
GOP of the last century, and they have been struggling, not to catch up with
the rest of us, but to take us back to 1980, ever since. They lament that they
have been sold-out somehow. They had money on their side, they had Jesus on their
side, and they had most of the white people on their side. How could they lose?
Time and math are not friends to the Republican
Party today. Social mores, and especially demographics, are changing rapidly
and shifting toward the political left. The staple conservative
older white male is daily succumbing to our human mortality, and the new
demographics are not attracted to a predominantly white, predominantly male,
predominantly heterosexual message that resonated fifty years ago.
The largest growing demographics in the nation today
are women, Latinos and millennials. Whether you are selling shoes, doughnuts or
insurance policies; this is your target market. The Faustian deal with
Evangelicals is now an obstacle for attracting women, as well as LGBTs, with
their homophobic rhetoric. Most women, especially those under the age of 50,
are not likely to empower those who make light of their personal and
reproductive rights.
Latinos are overwhelmingly turned off by the subtle, yet
constant, racist assaults on their own tribe, as well as the GOP hardline
stance on immigration issues. And millennials have a world view that is much
more inclusive and less xenophobic than previous generations. Moreover, most of them have
had community service in their curriculum somewhere, and have a broader
understanding of community that lends itself much more readily to a Democratic
message that prioritizes a common-wealth over shrewd and competitive
individuality.
The southern strategy, Reaganomics and Evangelical
judgment cannot appeal to the new demographics. This is not ideology, it’s just
math. The racism, greed and false sense of moral superiority that delivered GOP
victories in the past, cannot do so with 21st century Americans.
What escapes GOP logic of late, is that all debts
come due. Faustian bargains come at a very high price in the long run; and
Faust himself just handed the GOP the check.
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